For institutional or confidential inquiries, see Strategic Notes & Advisory
Recent work focuses on transnational networks, illicit flows, and institutional adaptation under pressure.
Selected Publications
- The Illusion of Decline: Hezbollah’s Quiet Adaptation in Latin America
Published in International Policy Digest, March 26, 2026.
Key Upcoming Analyses (2026)
I. Structural Geopolitical Risk in Latin America
- Cuba and the Rise of Externalized Regime Survival
- Alignment Sensitivity under Systemic Stress: Brazil’s Fertilizer Exposure
II. Transnational Infrastructure & Regulatory Asymmetry
- Why Terror Designations Matter: Legal Ambiguity and Transnational Networks
- Why Jurisdictional Continuity Outweighs Ideology in Transnational Threats
- BRICS as a Structural Tension Field: CADI (Crisis-Adjusted Divergence Index) Applied to Brazil & India
Analytical focus
Antoine Bachelin Sena is a strategic risk analyst based in São Paulo, Brazil, specializing in transnational hybrid networks and institutional vulnerabilities in Latin America.
